Live Updates: A Blow by Blow Account of Egypt’s Revolution Part II
Earlier this Year
Democratic, Oligarchic, or Islamic Revolution in Egypt?
The American Thinker – February 14, 2011
President Obama’s remarks about Egypt were somewhat detached from the reality of the situation, trying to seize an event and give it historical significance, applying the notion that this was some historical moment of “freedom.”
Essentially what occurred was a palace coup. Mubarak was pushed out by the military and the end result is that a military “junta” has now assumed control of the government of Egypt. It remains to be seen if this is a moment for freedom or democracy.
The Egyptian military leadership is an oligarchy, and how much they will allow constitutional changes for greater democratic space is yet to be seen. So far they have suspended the Egyptian constitution and dissolved the parliament and will plan for elections in six months. For sure they will not want the Muslim Brotherhood to have much if any governing role; if they do, that will begin to put Egypt on a slow track to an Islamist state and directly impact their stakeholder interests.
While I can take short term comfort in the fact the military is maintaining order and not allowing Egypt to devolve into chaos, and our national security pundits are breathing a sigh of relief that the Army and military remain our “friends,” I have also seen the rapid impacts revolutionary changes and elections can have on military institutions as well.
Read entire article HERE.
Egypt Welcomes the New Boss – Same as the Old Boss
Trends Research Institute – February 16, 2011
The Egyptian people in Liberation Square celebrated, the world leaders weighed in, and the global media parroted the tale of “history in the making.” The big bad Hosni Mubarak has”listened to the voices of the Egyptian people” and has bowed to their demands to finally end his 30-year presidential rule.
On February 11th, the news came in a brief statement made by freshly anointed Vice President Omar “Egypt is not ready for democracy” Suleiman: ”In these grave circumstances that the country is passing through, President Hosni Mubarak has decided to leave his position as president of the republic. He has mandated the Armed Forces Supreme Council to run the state.”
Following the announcement, Nobel Prize recipient (and the West’s favorite opposition leader) Mohamed ElBaradei said it was the “greatest day” of his life and that “the country has been liberated.”
The “greatest day” was summed up in a USA Today headline: “Mubarak resigns; military takes over in Egypt.”
Trends Journal subscribers didn’t have to wait until February 11th to know the outcome of this “history in the making.” In our February 1st Trend Alert we forecast:
As we will see in Egypt, military coups will be disguised as regime changes. Already the public is being conditioned to view the Egyptian military as beloved liberators. But in fact they are simply another arm of the autocratic government, no more familiar with democratic ideals than the dictator they replace…who had himself been drawn from the ranks of the military.
Yet, despite those in charge being the antithesis of democracy, President Obama proclaimed, “Egyptians have made it clear that nothing less than genuine democracy will carry the day. The people of Egypt have spoken – their voices have been heard and Egypt will never be the same.”
As with Egypt, in the “Democratic” USA, politicians, media and the nation-at-large put their trust and better judgment in the hands of their glorious, benevolent, military men and their magnificent war machines. Yet, as history has long proven, military rule, (decried as “juntas” in countries the US does not do business with) is invariably brutal and only infrequently does legislative power return to the people. If elections are held they are usually rigged and the only change is a change of clothes – from a tailored General’s uniform to a tailored Armani suit.
Meet the new boss, same as the old boss.
In what appears to be a concession to protestors, the Council has promised to stay in power only on a temporary basis, and to hold fair and open elections within six month’s time…which is essentially the same election timetable proposed by Mr. Mubarak.
While no one can predict whether the military rulers will relinquish power and allow free elections, what can be assumed is that they will not willingly forego the estimated $2 billion in annual US aid the Egyptian government receives.
Since Mubarak’s exit, Beltway policy wonks and political front-men have been urging Washington to funnel funds to “pro democracy” groups in Egypt as part of an effort to influence the shape of the next government, to insure “stability” and support US foreign policy interests.
Trends Forecast: The developments in Tunisia, Egypt, and now spreading to Yemen, Algeria and beyond, are the manifestation of a trend long in the making – one we predicted in our “Off With Their Heads 2.0” Autumn Trends Journal. Not confined to North African and Middle Eastern nations, what is now unfolding is a prelude to a series of civil wars that will lead to regional wars, that will lead to the first “Great War” of the 21st century.
Read entire article HERE.
Egypt’s “Twitter Revolution” Reloaded
RT – “Egypt’s Twitter Revolution Reloaded”
Hundreds of thousands of angry protestors have gathered in Cairo’s Tahrir Square, unhappy that the revolution’s goals are not being achieved. Egyptian activists have been calling for a million people to gather there.
One noticeable addition to the rally is the presence of the Muslim Brotherhood activists. During the uprising in February, when some 800 people were killed and several thousand were injured, the radical movement was not welcomed by the protestors. Now they are part of the protesting crowd.
And the apparent absentees are security forces. The demonstrators are making sure that no police are present at Tahrir Square. Civilian activists are doing security checks of those suspected of having weapons.
The protestors say that even though high-ranking officials of the Mubarak regime, including the president himself, are to stand trial, its legacy is still very much alive.
“We got rid of Mubarak, but Mubarak’s dictatorship is still alive and well,” says Hossam al-Hamalawy, an influential social networker with a Twitter army of some 30,000 followers.
The taste of freedom won at Tahrir Square was short-lived. The military is in full power, mass media are being choked and oppression is still rampant.
“It’s worse than before I think. They weren’t catching activists as much as they are doing now and taking them to prison. I guess now they are being really violent. They want to kill the revolution. They stole it in the first place,” says activist Nawara Mourad.
Activists have a number of demands for the current government, which, they feel, is not running Egypt in the right direction.
“The military trials of civilians have to stop immediately. This is one of the major demands we’re putting forward,” al-Hamalawy says.
Others include transparent trials for the fallen regime and the purging of corrupt officials.
“Unfortunately people had this kind of revenge with Mubarak, that when he fell they felt it’s over, they thought the country would be cleaned up but it’s not the truth,” believes Mourad.
Earlier this week, protesters began camping out on Tahrir Square preparing for what they call the second phase of the revolution.
“People like myself have been arguing for taking Tahrir to the factories, taking Tahrir to the universities, taking Tahrir to places of work. Meaning in every workplace we have in Egypt there is a mini-Mubarak waiting to be overthrown,” Hossam explains.
The revolution will not stop, activists say. Mourad was never interested in politics until January. During the protests she was shot with 23 pellets by riot police, 20 of which are still in her leg. The pain is finally gone but her perseverance is not.
“The barrier of fear is gone,” she says, adding she will continue to fight until the end: “I want every Egyptian citizen to be treated as a human being.”
Every protester has their own vision of the Egypt they are fighting for. Some want a Constitution and then free elections. Others think the new laws should follow the vote. But the one thing that brings them all together is that this Egypt is not the end.
Original article HERE.